Abstract

The rapid development of information and communication technology (ICT) has spurred the rise of rural e-commerce, creating new opportunities for farmers to increase their income. This study empirically examines the impact of rural e-commerce on farmers' income using a two-way fixed effects model, a spatial econometric model, and a group-regression model. Our results demonstrate that the continuous expansion of rural e-commerce does not necessarily lead to sustained income growth; instead, it exhibits an "inverted U-shaped" relationship with farmers' income. This impact is not limited to the local area but also affects neighboring regions. Furthermore, the inflection point of this "inverted U-shaped" impact occurs earlier in counties that are not among the top 100 in agricultural product e-commerce. Further analysis indicates that the presence of e-commerce associations and digital technological innovation can help mitigate the adverse effects of excessive e-commerce expansion on farmers' income. This study provides crucial insights into the scientific understanding of the relationship between ICT (as represented by rural e-commerce) and farmers' income. By understanding this dynamic, we can enable more effective use of ICT to promote the sustainable growth of farmers' income and the long-term prosperity of rural areas.

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