Bitcoin as the first and still most important decentralized cryptocurrency has gained wide popu-larity due to the steep rise of its price during the second half of 2017. Because of its digital na-ture, Bitcoin cannot be valuated exclusively with fundamental approaches, which is why factors such as investor sentiment have become a common alternative to capture its performance. In this work, we studied whether and how the sale of Bitcoins from the insolvency assets of Mt.Gox, which represent about 1.1% of the current global total, relates to Bitcoin price movements. We used social media sentiment analysis of Twitter data to examine how investors are influenced in their decision to buy or sell Bitcoin when confronted with the trade actions of Nobuaki Koba-yashi, the trustee in charge of the Mt.Gox case. We built a vector error correction model to ana-lyze the long-run relationship between cointegrated variables. Our analysis confirms the posi-tive association of Bitcoin performance with positive Twitter sentiment and tweet volume and the negative association with negative sentiment. We further found empirical evidence that Mt.Gox selloff events have a lasting negative impact on the Bitcoin price and that we can measure this effect by Twitter sentiment and tweet volume.
Kremser, Thomas; Radszuwill, Sven; Schweizer, André; and Steffek, Bernhard, (2019). "HOW DO LARGE STAKES INFLUENCE BITCOIN PERFORMANCE? EVIDENCE FROM THE MT.GOX LIQUIDATION CASE". In Proceedings of the 27th European Conference on Information Systems (ECIS), Stockholm & Uppsala, Sweden, June 8-14, 2019. ISBN 978-1-7336325-0-8 Research Papers.