Abstract

In a very competitive mobile telecommunication industry business environment, marketing managers need a business intelligence model that allows them to maintain an optimal (at least a near optimal) level of churners very effectively and efficiently while minimizing the costs throughout their marketing programs. As a first step toward optimal churn management program for marketing managers, this paper focuses on building an accurate and concise predictive model for the purpose of churn prediction utilizing a Partial Least Square (PLS)-based methodology on highly correlated data sets among variables. A preliminary experiment demonstrates that the presented model provides more accurate performance than traditional prediction models and identifies key variables to better understand churning behaviors.

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