Corresponding Author

Chen Chen

Document Type

Work in Progress


Based on the 1997-2016 inbound tourism data, this paper establishes a second exponential smoothing prediction model, predicts the number of inbound tourists in the next five years, and explores the dynamic changes and trends of inbound tourists in China, and analyzes this trend. The study found that the distribution of inbound tourists in the six regions of China has shown a relatively stable trend.