Research on Dynamic Distribution and Prediction of Inbound Tourists in China

Authors

Chen Chen, Army Logistics University of PLA, ChinaFollow
Jili Dai, Army Logistics University of PLA, ChinaFollow
Shenglin Li, Army Logistics University of PLA, ChinaFollow

Corresponding Author

Chen Chen

Document Type

Work in Progress

Abstract

Based on the 1997-2016 inbound tourism data, this paper establishes a second exponential smoothing prediction model, predicts the number of inbound tourists in the next five years, and explores the dynamic changes and trends of inbound tourists in China, and analyzes this trend. The study found that the distribution of inbound tourists in the six regions of China has shown a relatively stable trend.

Recommended Citation

Chen, Chen; Dai, Jili; and Li, Shenglin, "Research on Dynamic Distribution and Prediction of Inbound Tourists in China" (2018). ICEB 2018 Proceedings (Guilin, China). 20.
https://aisel.aisnet.org/iceb2018/20