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Complete

Abstract

Decision support systems (DSS) often generate multi-criteria rankings recalculated from current data each cycle. Because internal reference points are reconstructed every period, ranking changes may reflect shifts in the measurement scale rather than real performance differences. We define this phenomenon as benchmark drift and examine how incorporating historical memory affects the stability–responsiveness trade-off in temporal evaluation systems. Following a design science research approach, we propose a history-aware benchmark mechanism that smooths ideal and anti-ideal reference vectors using exponentially weighted moving averages (EWMA) governed by a single parameter α. Implemented within a TOPSIS framework and evaluated on twelve years of Eurostat energy indicators for 27 EU countries, the mechanism shows that about 27% of ranking variation in the classical configuration is drift-driven. Moderate smoothing reduces this share by 25–35% while preserving sensitivity to genuine performance change, providing a reusable design component for longitudinal DSS evaluation.

Paper Number

1547

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Aug 15th, 12:00 AM

Benchmark Drift in Temporal Decision Support Systems: A Design Science Approach to Stability and Responsiveness

Decision support systems (DSS) often generate multi-criteria rankings recalculated from current data each cycle. Because internal reference points are reconstructed every period, ranking changes may reflect shifts in the measurement scale rather than real performance differences. We define this phenomenon as benchmark drift and examine how incorporating historical memory affects the stability–responsiveness trade-off in temporal evaluation systems. Following a design science research approach, we propose a history-aware benchmark mechanism that smooths ideal and anti-ideal reference vectors using exponentially weighted moving averages (EWMA) governed by a single parameter α. Implemented within a TOPSIS framework and evaluated on twelve years of Eurostat energy indicators for 27 EU countries, the mechanism shows that about 27% of ranking variation in the classical configuration is drift-driven. Moderate smoothing reduces this share by 25–35% while preserving sensitivity to genuine performance change, providing a reusable design component for longitudinal DSS evaluation.

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